How to cite this paper
Moghaddampour, J., Setalani, F., Ghasemi, H & Eivazi, M. (2018). Crafting decision options and alternatives for designing cultural observation system using general morphological modelling.Decision Science Letters , 7(4), 359-380.
Refrences
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Amanatidou, E., Butter, M., Carabias, V., Könnölä, T., Leis, M., Saritas, O., ... & van Rij, V. (2012). On concepts and methods in horizon scanning: Lessons from initiating policy dialogues on emerging issues. Science and Public Policy, 39(2), 208-221.
Anbari, M. (2011). Cultural observatory conceptual gradual change. Tehran: Rahdan Publications.
Anonymous. (2005). Mandate of cultural observation in I. R. of Iran. Tehran: Cultural Revolution Higher Council.
Anonymous. (2013). Iranian cultural engineering map. Tehran: Cultural Revolution Higher Council Secretariat.
Azimi, E. (2011). Revising futures studies theoretical device in Islamic ideology. Researches on Futures (a series of papers), 11-42.
Babbage, R. (2008). Strategic Decision Making: Optimising Australia's National Security Planning and Coordination for 2015. Kokoda Foundation.
Bengston, D. N. (2013). Horizon scanning for environmental foresight: A review of issues and approaches. United States Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station.
Bishop, P. (2009) Horizon Scanning, Why is it so hard?. Retrieved from http://www.law.uh.edu/faculty/thester/courses/Emerging%20Tech%202011/Horizon%20Scanning.pdf
Choo, C. W. (2001). Environmental scanning as information seeking and organizational learning. Information Research, 7(1), 7-1.
Connery, D. (2012). Horizon Scanning: Bringing strategic insight to national security policymaking. Occasional Paper, (5).
Cuhls, K., Erdmann, L., Warnke, P., Toivanen, H., Toivanen, M., van der Giessen, A. M., & Seiffert, L. (2015). Models of hirizon scanning. How to integrate horizon scanning into European research and innovation policies.
Da Costa, O., Warnke, P., Cagnin, C., & Scapolo, F. (2008). The impact of foresight on policy-making: insights from the FORLEARN mutual learning process. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 20(3), 369-387.
Draeger, D. (2011). Environmental & Horizon Scanning. Retrieved from https://aiglatsonforesight.com/2011/05/10/environmental-horizon-scanning
Eivazi, M. (2015). New emerging cultural, social and political phenomena and their roles in Iranian progress. the 4th Conference on Islamic-Iranian progress paradigm; Iranian progress: past, present and future.
Habegger, B. (2009). Horizon scanning in government: Concept, country experiences, and models for Switzerland. Center for Security Studies (CSS), ETH Zurich.
Hiltunen, E. (2008). Good sources of weak signals: a global study of where futurists look for weak signals. Journal of Futures Studies, 12(4), 21-44.
Kavoosi, A., Bigdeli, M., & Mohammadnejad Alizamini, A. (2008). Studying how to transfer cultural activities to nongovernmental section and providing proper guidelines considering the 3rd and 4th development plans. a series of papers on cultural planning, Tehran: Strategic Research Center of Expedience Council.
Könnölä, T., Salo, A., Cagnin, C., Carabias, V., & Vilkkumaa, E. (2012). Facing the future: Scanning, synthesizing and sense-making in horizon scanning. Science and public policy, 39(2), 222-231.
Kuosa, T. (2010). Futures signals sense-making framework (FSSF): A start-up tool to analyse and categorise weak signals, wild cards, drivers, trends and other types of information. Futures, 42(1), 42-48.
Lavoix, H. (2012). Horizon Scanning and Monitoring for Anticipation: Definition and Practice. Retrieved from https://www.redanalysis.org/2012/06/22/horizon-scanning-and-monitoring-for-anticipation-definition and-practice/
Lesca, H., & Lesca, N. (2014). Strategic decisions and weak signals: anticipation for decision-making. John Wiley & Sons.
Lindgren, M., & Bandfold, H. (2003). Scenario Planning: The Link between Future and Industry.
Major, E., Asch, D., & Cordey-Hayes, M. (2001). Foresight as a core competence. Futures, 33(2), 91-107.
Malekifar, E. (2007). Futures studies aliphatic. Tehran: Industry and Technology Think Tank.
Maurits Butter, M. L., Cagnin, C., Carabias, V., Könnölä, T., van Rij, V., Klerx, J., ... & Pace, L. (2010, October). Scanning for early recognition of emerging issues; dealing with the unexpected, an operational framework for the identification and assessment of new future developments. In Workshop paper: SESTI methodology, workshop (Vol. 26).
Mendonça, S., Cardoso, G., & Caraça, J. (2012). The strategic strength of weak signal analysis. Futures, 44(3), 218-228.
Mendonça, S., e Cunha, M. P., Ruff, F., & Kaivo-oja, J. (2009). Venturing into the wilderness: Preparing for wild cards in the civil aircraft and asset-management industries. Long Range Planning, 42(1), 23-41.
Miles, I., & Saritas, O. (2012). The depth of the horizon: searching, scanning and widening horizons. Foresight, 14(6), 530-545.
Moqtadaei, M. (2008). Cultural and cultural observatory, the proposal of executing cultural observatory in Isfahan. Isfahan Culture, 41 & 42, 5 – 16.
Negahdary, B. (2006). Cultural observatory: dimensions and guidelines. IRIB Monthly Journal, 57, 76 – 87.
Plebańczyk, K. (2014). The Idea of Culture Observatories-Overview. Acta Academiae Artium Vilnensis, (72).
Rashad, E. (2006). Culture engineering and cultural engineering. Cultural Engineering Biweekly , 2.
Ritchey, T. (2002). Modelling complex socio-technical systems using morphological analysis. Adapted from an address to the Swedish Parliamentary IT Commission, Stockholm.
Ritchey, T. (2013). General Morphological Analysis, A general method for non-quantified modelling. Adapted from an address to Swedish Morphological Society: http://swemorph.com/pdf/gma.pdf
Ritchey, T. (2015). Principles of cross-consistency assessment in general morphological modelling. Acta Morphologica Generalis, 4.
Royayi, R. & Rasooli, A. (2008). Cultural policymaking requirements in national level. a series of cultural planning articles (2), Tehran: Strategic Research Center of Expedience Council.
Salehi Amiri, R., & Azimi Dolatabadi, A. (2008). the basics of cultural policymaking and planning. Tehran: Strategic Research Center of Expedience Council.
Saritas, O., & Miles, I. (2012). Scan-4-Light: a Searchlight function horizon scanning and trend monitoring project. Foresight, 14(6), 489-510.
Saritas, O., & Smith, J. E. (2011). The big picture–trends, drivers, wild cards, discontinuities and weak signals. Futures, 43(3), 292-312.
Schein, E. H. (2004). Organizational Culture and LeaderShip(3rd Edition). Jossey-Bass, a Wiley Imprint.
Shaffer, M. S. (Ed.). (2012). Public culture: Diversity, democracy, and community in the United States. University of Pennsylvania Press.
Sutherland, W. J., Bardsley, S., Bennun, L., Clout, M., Côté, I. M., Depledge, M. H., ... & Gibbons, D. W. (2011). Horizon scan of global conservation issues for 2011. Trends in ecology & evolution, 26(1), 10-16.
Van der Heijden, K. (2011). Scenarios: the art of strategic conversation. John Wiley & Sons.
Van Rij, V. (2010a). Joint horizon scanning: identifying common strategic choices and questions for knowledge. Science and Public Policy, 37(1), 7-18.
Van Rij, V. (2010b). Horizon scanning: monitoring plausible and desirable futures. In Knowledge Democracy (pp. 227-240). Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg.
Van Rij, V. (2011). Wild cards as future shakers and shapers. The 4th International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis. (FTA): 12 & 13 May.
Van Rij, V. (2013). New emerging issues and wild cards as future shakers and shapers. In Recent Developments in Foresight Methodologies (pp. 67-89). Springer, Boston, MA.
Zare, B., Avarzamani, H.; and Safaei Sabet, H. (2014). Cultural challenges of the I. R. of Iran in next ten years. Public Culture, 84 – 86.
Amanatidou, E., Butter, M., Carabias, V., Könnölä, T., Leis, M., Saritas, O., ... & van Rij, V. (2012). On concepts and methods in horizon scanning: Lessons from initiating policy dialogues on emerging issues. Science and Public Policy, 39(2), 208-221.
Anbari, M. (2011). Cultural observatory conceptual gradual change. Tehran: Rahdan Publications.
Anonymous. (2005). Mandate of cultural observation in I. R. of Iran. Tehran: Cultural Revolution Higher Council.
Anonymous. (2013). Iranian cultural engineering map. Tehran: Cultural Revolution Higher Council Secretariat.
Azimi, E. (2011). Revising futures studies theoretical device in Islamic ideology. Researches on Futures (a series of papers), 11-42.
Babbage, R. (2008). Strategic Decision Making: Optimising Australia's National Security Planning and Coordination for 2015. Kokoda Foundation.
Bengston, D. N. (2013). Horizon scanning for environmental foresight: A review of issues and approaches. United States Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station.
Bishop, P. (2009) Horizon Scanning, Why is it so hard?. Retrieved from http://www.law.uh.edu/faculty/thester/courses/Emerging%20Tech%202011/Horizon%20Scanning.pdf
Choo, C. W. (2001). Environmental scanning as information seeking and organizational learning. Information Research, 7(1), 7-1.
Connery, D. (2012). Horizon Scanning: Bringing strategic insight to national security policymaking. Occasional Paper, (5).
Cuhls, K., Erdmann, L., Warnke, P., Toivanen, H., Toivanen, M., van der Giessen, A. M., & Seiffert, L. (2015). Models of hirizon scanning. How to integrate horizon scanning into European research and innovation policies.
Da Costa, O., Warnke, P., Cagnin, C., & Scapolo, F. (2008). The impact of foresight on policy-making: insights from the FORLEARN mutual learning process. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 20(3), 369-387.
Draeger, D. (2011). Environmental & Horizon Scanning. Retrieved from https://aiglatsonforesight.com/2011/05/10/environmental-horizon-scanning
Eivazi, M. (2015). New emerging cultural, social and political phenomena and their roles in Iranian progress. the 4th Conference on Islamic-Iranian progress paradigm; Iranian progress: past, present and future.
Habegger, B. (2009). Horizon scanning in government: Concept, country experiences, and models for Switzerland. Center for Security Studies (CSS), ETH Zurich.
Hiltunen, E. (2008). Good sources of weak signals: a global study of where futurists look for weak signals. Journal of Futures Studies, 12(4), 21-44.
Kavoosi, A., Bigdeli, M., & Mohammadnejad Alizamini, A. (2008). Studying how to transfer cultural activities to nongovernmental section and providing proper guidelines considering the 3rd and 4th development plans. a series of papers on cultural planning, Tehran: Strategic Research Center of Expedience Council.
Könnölä, T., Salo, A., Cagnin, C., Carabias, V., & Vilkkumaa, E. (2012). Facing the future: Scanning, synthesizing and sense-making in horizon scanning. Science and public policy, 39(2), 222-231.
Kuosa, T. (2010). Futures signals sense-making framework (FSSF): A start-up tool to analyse and categorise weak signals, wild cards, drivers, trends and other types of information. Futures, 42(1), 42-48.
Lavoix, H. (2012). Horizon Scanning and Monitoring for Anticipation: Definition and Practice. Retrieved from https://www.redanalysis.org/2012/06/22/horizon-scanning-and-monitoring-for-anticipation-definition and-practice/
Lesca, H., & Lesca, N. (2014). Strategic decisions and weak signals: anticipation for decision-making. John Wiley & Sons.
Lindgren, M., & Bandfold, H. (2003). Scenario Planning: The Link between Future and Industry.
Major, E., Asch, D., & Cordey-Hayes, M. (2001). Foresight as a core competence. Futures, 33(2), 91-107.
Malekifar, E. (2007). Futures studies aliphatic. Tehran: Industry and Technology Think Tank.
Maurits Butter, M. L., Cagnin, C., Carabias, V., Könnölä, T., van Rij, V., Klerx, J., ... & Pace, L. (2010, October). Scanning for early recognition of emerging issues; dealing with the unexpected, an operational framework for the identification and assessment of new future developments. In Workshop paper: SESTI methodology, workshop (Vol. 26).
Mendonça, S., Cardoso, G., & Caraça, J. (2012). The strategic strength of weak signal analysis. Futures, 44(3), 218-228.
Mendonça, S., e Cunha, M. P., Ruff, F., & Kaivo-oja, J. (2009). Venturing into the wilderness: Preparing for wild cards in the civil aircraft and asset-management industries. Long Range Planning, 42(1), 23-41.
Miles, I., & Saritas, O. (2012). The depth of the horizon: searching, scanning and widening horizons. Foresight, 14(6), 530-545.
Moqtadaei, M. (2008). Cultural and cultural observatory, the proposal of executing cultural observatory in Isfahan. Isfahan Culture, 41 & 42, 5 – 16.
Negahdary, B. (2006). Cultural observatory: dimensions and guidelines. IRIB Monthly Journal, 57, 76 – 87.
Plebańczyk, K. (2014). The Idea of Culture Observatories-Overview. Acta Academiae Artium Vilnensis, (72).
Rashad, E. (2006). Culture engineering and cultural engineering. Cultural Engineering Biweekly , 2.
Ritchey, T. (2002). Modelling complex socio-technical systems using morphological analysis. Adapted from an address to the Swedish Parliamentary IT Commission, Stockholm.
Ritchey, T. (2013). General Morphological Analysis, A general method for non-quantified modelling. Adapted from an address to Swedish Morphological Society: http://swemorph.com/pdf/gma.pdf
Ritchey, T. (2015). Principles of cross-consistency assessment in general morphological modelling. Acta Morphologica Generalis, 4.
Royayi, R. & Rasooli, A. (2008). Cultural policymaking requirements in national level. a series of cultural planning articles (2), Tehran: Strategic Research Center of Expedience Council.
Salehi Amiri, R., & Azimi Dolatabadi, A. (2008). the basics of cultural policymaking and planning. Tehran: Strategic Research Center of Expedience Council.
Saritas, O., & Miles, I. (2012). Scan-4-Light: a Searchlight function horizon scanning and trend monitoring project. Foresight, 14(6), 489-510.
Saritas, O., & Smith, J. E. (2011). The big picture–trends, drivers, wild cards, discontinuities and weak signals. Futures, 43(3), 292-312.
Schein, E. H. (2004). Organizational Culture and LeaderShip(3rd Edition). Jossey-Bass, a Wiley Imprint.
Shaffer, M. S. (Ed.). (2012). Public culture: Diversity, democracy, and community in the United States. University of Pennsylvania Press.
Sutherland, W. J., Bardsley, S., Bennun, L., Clout, M., Côté, I. M., Depledge, M. H., ... & Gibbons, D. W. (2011). Horizon scan of global conservation issues for 2011. Trends in ecology & evolution, 26(1), 10-16.
Van der Heijden, K. (2011). Scenarios: the art of strategic conversation. John Wiley & Sons.
Van Rij, V. (2010a). Joint horizon scanning: identifying common strategic choices and questions for knowledge. Science and Public Policy, 37(1), 7-18.
Van Rij, V. (2010b). Horizon scanning: monitoring plausible and desirable futures. In Knowledge Democracy (pp. 227-240). Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg.
Van Rij, V. (2011). Wild cards as future shakers and shapers. The 4th International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis. (FTA): 12 & 13 May.
Van Rij, V. (2013). New emerging issues and wild cards as future shakers and shapers. In Recent Developments in Foresight Methodologies (pp. 67-89). Springer, Boston, MA.
Zare, B., Avarzamani, H.; and Safaei Sabet, H. (2014). Cultural challenges of the I. R. of Iran in next ten years. Public Culture, 84 – 86.