How to cite this paper
Hidayana, R., Napitupulu, H & Sukono, S. (2022). An investment decision-making model to predict the risk and return in stock market: An Application of ARIMA-GJR-GARCH.Decision Science Letters , 11(3), 235-246.
Refrences
Ali, G. (2013). EGARCH, GJR-GARCH, TGARCH, AVGARCH, NGARCH, IGARCH and APARCH models for pathogens at marine recreational sites. Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, 2(3), 57-73.
Bakhtiar, S. M., Syata, I., Alwi, W., Ibnas, R., & Anugrawati, S. D. (2021, May). Estimation of Average Value at Risk (AVaR) on Sharia Joint-Stock Index Using Glosten, Jaggnathan and Runkle (GJR) model. In 1st International Conference on Mathematics and Mathematics Education (ICMMEd 2020) (pp. 143-149). Atlantis Press.
Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Journal of econometrics, 31(3), 307-327.
Brooks, C. (2008). RATS Handbook to accompany introductory econometrics for finance. Cambridge Books.
Bucevska, V. (2013). An Empirical evaluation of GARCH models in value-at-risk estimation: Evidence from the Macedonian stock exchange. Business Systems Research: International journal of the Society for Advancing Innovation and Research in Economy, 4(1), 49-64.
Campbell, J. Y., Lo, A. W., MacKinlay, A. C., & Whitelaw, R. F. (1998). The econometrics of financial markets. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2(4), 559-562.
Dritsaki, C. (2017). An empirical evaluation in GARCH volatility modeling: Evidence from the Stockholm stock exchange. Journal of Mathematical Finance, 7(2), 366-390.
Dwipa, N. M. S. (2016). GLOSTEN JAGANNATHAN RUNKLE-GENERALIZED AUTOREGRESSIVE CONDITIONAL HETEROSCEDASTICS (GJR-GARCH) METHODE FOR VALUE AT RISK (VaR) FORECASTING. Proceeding of ICMSE, 3(1), M-63.
Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica: Journal of the econometric society, 987-1007.
Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R., & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks. The journal of finance, 48(5), 1779-1801.
Hartono, E. F. & Wahyuni, D. U. (2017). Analisis faktor-faktor keputusan investasi pada perusahaan property dan real estate. Jurnal Ilmu dan Riset Manajemen, 6(6).
Bursa Efek Indonesia. (2021). IDX Stock Index Handbook. Jakarta: BEI.
Kalfin, Sukono, & Carnia, E. (2019). Portfolio Optimization of the Mean-Absolute Deviation Model of Some Stocks using the Singular Covariance Matrix. International Journal of Recent Technology and Engineering (IJRTE), Volume-8 Issue-3, 7818-7822.
Lee, O. (2007). A study on Box-Cox transformed threshold GARCH (1, 1) process. Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods, 14(1), 141-146.
Mittnik, S., Paolella, M. S., & Rachev, S. T. (2002). Stationarity of stable power-GARCH processes. Journal of Econometrics, 106(1), 97-107.
Nilsson, C. (2017). Forecasting Swedish stock market volatility and value-at-risk: A comparison of EWMA and GARCH models.
Olowe, R.A. (2010). Oil Price Volatility. Global Financial Crisis and The Mont of The Year Effect. International Journal of Business and Management. Vol 5.
Rupert, D. (2011). Statistics and Data Analysis for Financial Engineering. 2nd ed., Spinger text in statistics, New York.
Sukono., Soeryana, E., and Simanjuntak, A. (2019). ARIMA-GARCH Model for Estimation of Value-at-Risk and Expected shortfall of Some Stocks in Indonesia Capital Market. Proceedings of the International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management Riyadh. Saudi Arabia.
Sukono., Susanti, D., Najmia, M., Lesmana, E., Napitupulu, H., Supian, S., and Putra, A.S. (2017). Analysis of stock investment selection based on CAPM using covariance and genetic algorithm approach. IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering. 332 012046.
Sukono, Kartiwa, A., Subartini, B., Hidayat, Y., & Bon, A.T. (2018). Estimation of Conditional Value-at-Risk under Assets Liability Model with Non Constant Volatility. Proceedings of the International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management, Bandung, Indonesia, March 6-8, 2018, 2726-2733.
Tamilselvan, M., & Vali, S. M. (2016). Forecasting stock market volitility-evidence from muscat security market using garch models. International Journal of Commerce and Finance, 2(1), 37-53.
Tsay, R.S. (2005). Analysis of financial time series. 2nd ed., Chicago: John Wiley & Sons. Inc. University of Chicago.
Ummah, A., Ahsan, M., & Anas, A. (2021). Students' investment decisions with intention as an intervening variable. Equilibrium: Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah, 9(1), 135-152.
Bakhtiar, S. M., Syata, I., Alwi, W., Ibnas, R., & Anugrawati, S. D. (2021, May). Estimation of Average Value at Risk (AVaR) on Sharia Joint-Stock Index Using Glosten, Jaggnathan and Runkle (GJR) model. In 1st International Conference on Mathematics and Mathematics Education (ICMMEd 2020) (pp. 143-149). Atlantis Press.
Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Journal of econometrics, 31(3), 307-327.
Brooks, C. (2008). RATS Handbook to accompany introductory econometrics for finance. Cambridge Books.
Bucevska, V. (2013). An Empirical evaluation of GARCH models in value-at-risk estimation: Evidence from the Macedonian stock exchange. Business Systems Research: International journal of the Society for Advancing Innovation and Research in Economy, 4(1), 49-64.
Campbell, J. Y., Lo, A. W., MacKinlay, A. C., & Whitelaw, R. F. (1998). The econometrics of financial markets. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2(4), 559-562.
Dritsaki, C. (2017). An empirical evaluation in GARCH volatility modeling: Evidence from the Stockholm stock exchange. Journal of Mathematical Finance, 7(2), 366-390.
Dwipa, N. M. S. (2016). GLOSTEN JAGANNATHAN RUNKLE-GENERALIZED AUTOREGRESSIVE CONDITIONAL HETEROSCEDASTICS (GJR-GARCH) METHODE FOR VALUE AT RISK (VaR) FORECASTING. Proceeding of ICMSE, 3(1), M-63.
Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica: Journal of the econometric society, 987-1007.
Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R., & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks. The journal of finance, 48(5), 1779-1801.
Hartono, E. F. & Wahyuni, D. U. (2017). Analisis faktor-faktor keputusan investasi pada perusahaan property dan real estate. Jurnal Ilmu dan Riset Manajemen, 6(6).
Bursa Efek Indonesia. (2021). IDX Stock Index Handbook. Jakarta: BEI.
Kalfin, Sukono, & Carnia, E. (2019). Portfolio Optimization of the Mean-Absolute Deviation Model of Some Stocks using the Singular Covariance Matrix. International Journal of Recent Technology and Engineering (IJRTE), Volume-8 Issue-3, 7818-7822.
Lee, O. (2007). A study on Box-Cox transformed threshold GARCH (1, 1) process. Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods, 14(1), 141-146.
Mittnik, S., Paolella, M. S., & Rachev, S. T. (2002). Stationarity of stable power-GARCH processes. Journal of Econometrics, 106(1), 97-107.
Nilsson, C. (2017). Forecasting Swedish stock market volatility and value-at-risk: A comparison of EWMA and GARCH models.
Olowe, R.A. (2010). Oil Price Volatility. Global Financial Crisis and The Mont of The Year Effect. International Journal of Business and Management. Vol 5.
Rupert, D. (2011). Statistics and Data Analysis for Financial Engineering. 2nd ed., Spinger text in statistics, New York.
Sukono., Soeryana, E., and Simanjuntak, A. (2019). ARIMA-GARCH Model for Estimation of Value-at-Risk and Expected shortfall of Some Stocks in Indonesia Capital Market. Proceedings of the International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management Riyadh. Saudi Arabia.
Sukono., Susanti, D., Najmia, M., Lesmana, E., Napitupulu, H., Supian, S., and Putra, A.S. (2017). Analysis of stock investment selection based on CAPM using covariance and genetic algorithm approach. IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering. 332 012046.
Sukono, Kartiwa, A., Subartini, B., Hidayat, Y., & Bon, A.T. (2018). Estimation of Conditional Value-at-Risk under Assets Liability Model with Non Constant Volatility. Proceedings of the International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management, Bandung, Indonesia, March 6-8, 2018, 2726-2733.
Tamilselvan, M., & Vali, S. M. (2016). Forecasting stock market volitility-evidence from muscat security market using garch models. International Journal of Commerce and Finance, 2(1), 37-53.
Tsay, R.S. (2005). Analysis of financial time series. 2nd ed., Chicago: John Wiley & Sons. Inc. University of Chicago.
Ummah, A., Ahsan, M., & Anas, A. (2021). Students' investment decisions with intention as an intervening variable. Equilibrium: Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah, 9(1), 135-152.