Traditionally, endemic diseases such as dengue, diarrhea, and tuberculosis are modeled separately, which leads to a limited understanding of current disease dynamics and an inaccurate evaluation of the parameters of the different models. In this study, we propose a joint spatiotemporal model to predict the risks of multiple endemic diseases and identify hotspots. The model includes spatial shared component random effects and a covariate for healthy behavior. The model was applied to the joint modeling of dengue, diarrhea, and tuberculosis in thirty districts in Bandung, Indonesia over a five-year period. Our findings show that the joint model was effective in understanding the characteristics of the diseases. One potential advantage of using shared component models is that they can identify diseases with spatial or temporal distribution patterns and consider shared risk factors that may be spatially correlated, such as climate. It is recommended to conduct exploratory analyses to determine the correlation between the risks of the diseases being studied and the reference disease before using this type of model.

To ensure that national development objectives in rural areas are achieved evenly and sustainably, the Government of Indonesia applies the principles of Village Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), which are derivative programs of SDGs. One of the indicators in measuring the progress and independence of villages in Indonesia is the availability of cellular phone signal access. Cellular phone signals have a vital role because most internet users in Indonesia rely on mobile data connections from cellular operators. However, the signal emitted by a provider tower has a limited range. According to the data of the Developing Villages Index in 2022, Tasikmalaya Regency is one of the regencies with the highest number of villages that have weak signal strength in West Java Province, Indonesia. To examine the effect of distance and height difference between the placement of the nearest provider tower and the location of the Village Office on the internet signal strength category in Tasikmalaya Regency, Logistic Spatial Autoregressive modeling is needed. In this study, the Bayesian Markov-Chain Monte Carlo estimation method was used, because it has advantages in flexibility and computational efficiency. In spatial modeling, there is a spatial weight matrix determined by the researcher’s understanding of the observed phenomenon. The variable observed in this study is signal strength, which has an orientation at a distance. However, there are several types of distance-based spatial weight matrices, such as K-nearest neighbor, radial distance, power distance, and exponential distance. To determine the most suitable distance-based spatial weight matrix in internet signal strength modeling, the four (4) weight matrices were compared based on the goodness of fit measure models, calculated from the confusion matrix. The results of the analysis showed that the radial distance weight matrix with a threshold distance of d = 1.7km is the most suitable use of distance-based spatial weight matrix in internet signal modeling in Tasikmalaya Regency. The weight matrix exerted a positive spatial autocorrelation effect of 57.141%. In addition, the height difference factor between the location of the provider tower with the location of the village office has a greater effect than the horizontal distance.

As time passes, social media, which was formerly used as a means of communication between users, is experiencing a transition as a means for broadcasting information, conducting business, advertising, and even political campaigning. In elections, social media is also used to discredit political opponents to reduce the electability of opposing candidate. Spreading hate speech and fake news to undermine the electability of opposing candidate is a common violation of the law committed by supporters of one candidate over another. Considering that the number of social media users increases annually at a very rapid rate, the hazard of social media abuse has the potential to grow. In 2022, Indonesia had 191 million social media users in January 2022. Obviously, this will make the election situation more tumultuous and has the potential to cause societal divisions. The government must have a control system in place to screen social media content that can be considered illegal. In this study, fake news and hate speech are classified using the Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (BiGRU). Lastly, K-Prototype was used to do clustering based on categorization dimensions and probable distribution to identify which clusters had the greatest risk of breaking the law, creating confusion, and dispersing broadly throughout society. It is hoped that the clusters that are created will represent the levels of priority of tweet data that requires prompt attention from the government to prevent it from spreading and inciting social unrest. Based on the results of the analysis, the BiGRU fake news model yields a F1-score of 95%, while the BiGRU hate speech model yields a F1-score of 90%. Clustering data using K-Prototype in this research can reduce the number of tweet data from 13,183 to 1,791 data. These new data are considered as a priority that must be pursued in preventing social media disputes.

The main objectives of this research are to identify significant spatial and temporal components associated with diarrhea and provide an accurate forecast. Using data from the Ban-dung city health surveillance system, the analysis reveals a decreasing trend in both the number of incidences and the estimated relative risks of diarrhea in most districts. Key factors contributing to diarrhea variation include temporally structured, spatially structured, and unstructured effects of space-time interaction Type I. No clear seasonal pattern is observed in diarrhea incidence among children under five, emphasizing the need for consistent vigilance and preventive measures. Spatial clustering was observed in the eastern and western parts of Bandung city. The forecasting model predicts a continued decline in diarrhea incidence and relative risk throughout 2022.

Gold is one of the most attractive commodities and popular investments. Investment experts often recommend investing in gold because gold is one of the safest investments. It is a stable classic hedge, although the conditions of currency volatility or global markets are depreciated. However, the gold price fluctuations can be influenced by some other factors, such as the USD Index, which reflect and measure the strength of the US Dollar currency, and the Index of Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) or a reflection of the political and economic conditions of the stock market. In this study, we conduct a global gold price forecast (USD) based on the USD Index, the DJIA Index, and the influence of time trends. Based on the data's characteristics, we face the fact that the data is nonlinear, contains outliers, and its pattern is not easy to specify parametrically. Due to the complexity of the model, we then propose a more flexible, robust modeling technique called the Bayesian Nonparametric Quantile Generalized Additive Model method. According to the results for the median case, the proposed method shows an accurate forecasting category due to the value of the Mean Absolute Percentage Error, MAPE less than 10 percent.